energy · live
Arbitraje de gas natural global
Diferencia de precio entre EE.UU., Europa y Asia. Los barcos siguen el spread.
2.67 USD/mmbtu
-35.5% vs Trailing 90-day mean spread
Observed: May 4, 2026, 8:30 PM UTC
Translation
El *arbitraje LNG* compara el gas en EE.UU. (Henry Hub), Europa (TTF) y Asia (JKM). Cuando Asia paga más que Europa, los cargueros desvían rumbo. El spread JKM-TTF predice la dirección de los barcos antes de que zarpen.
Methodology
- Source
- EIA (Henry Hub) + ICE/CME settlements (TTF, JKM)
- Cadence
- Daily
- Sensors / APIs
- EIA NG.RNGWHHD.D, ICE Endex public settlements, CME JKM proxy
- Baseline
- Trailing 90-day mean spread
- Uncertainty
- JKM is a published assessment, not a cleared market — thinly traded versus TTF
- Known biases
- Liquefaction + freight costs vary by route — flat assumption oversimplifies
- Long-term contracts indexed to oil distort spot signals
Provenance
- Source URL
- https://www.eia.gov/dnav/ng/ng_pri_fut_s1_d.htm
- License
- EIA public domain + ICE/CME public settlements
For developers and AI agents
- /signals/lng-arbitrage/brief.md — LLM-citable markdown
- /api/signals/lng-arbitrage — JSON + JSON-LD Dataset