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JPcentral-bank2026-09-18

Bank of Japan Interest Rate Decision

Bank of Japan hikes rate to 1.25%, highest since 1995

Actual

1.25%

Forecast

1.25%

Previous

1.00%

What it means

The Bank of Japan (BOJ) raised its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points, from 1.00% to 1.25%, citing the risk that inflation could overshoot its 2% target. The decision was not unanimous: the board split 7-2, with two members (Toichiro Asada and Ayano Sato) voting to hold rates steady.

What it moves

Although rate hikes usually strengthen a currency, the yen weakened past 157 per dollar because the split vote signaled the BOJ is unlikely to accelerate further hikes. 10-year government bond yields eased slightly, while the Nikkei 225 rose about 1.5%, led by exporters and tech stocks that benefit from a weaker yen.

Affected markets

  • USD/JPY Yen weakened past 157/dollar as the split BOJ vote signaled a less aggressive tightening path ahead
  • Japanese Government Bonds (10Y yield) Yields eased slightly as investors priced in a slower pace of future hikes
  • Nikkei 225 A weaker yen boosts overseas earnings for exporters and tech stocks, lifting the index about 1.5%

🎓 Today's takeaway

A rate hike doesn't automatically strengthen a currency — what moves markets is the surprise relative to expectations and the signal about the future policy path, not just the headline number. Always watch the forward guidance and the internal vote split of a central bank, not only the decision itself.

Vectorial Economía is descriptive educational information about macro data. Not investment advice. Past market behavior does not guarantee future results.