DLR — Digital Realty Trust
$194.93
Target: $215.00 (+10.3%)
P/E Ratio
70.5
P/E Forward
24.1
Dividend
2.5%
Market Cap
$67B
EPS
$2.77
Consensus
Buy
What they do
Digital Realty Trust is the world's largest data center REIT by footprint — 309 data centers globally with ~43.2M sq ft in operation, present in 55+ metros across 6 continents (North America, Europe, South America, Asia, Australia, Africa).
Business model:
- A REIT — required to distribute 90%+ of taxable income to shareholders
- Builds/acquires/operates data centers and leases capacity (MW + sq ft + interconnection) to customers
- 2 models: colocation/retail (smaller customers, 1 MW or less) + hyperscale (large customers, multi-MW)
- Revenue mix shifting toward hyperscale + the interconnection ecosystem
Main customers (per the supplementals):
- Oracle: relationship expanded in 2025 (FastConnect Direct + Cloud Solution Centers)
- Meta: long-standing top tenant
- Microsoft, Google, IBM, AWS: hyperscale relationships
- Largest customer: ~11.5% of annualized recurring revenue (a material top concentration)
- >5,000 customers in total
HQ: Austin, Texas. Employees: 4,282 (FY2025). Listing: NYSE (DLR), S&P 500 component.
Leadership:
- CEO: Andrew 'Andy' Power — CEO + Director since Dec 2022. Previously CFO 2015-2022, President since Nov 2021. He was the architect of DLR's financial strategy
- Chair: Mary Hogan Preusse (independent — Chair role separate from the CEO)
Q1 2026 (reported April 23, 2026):
| Metric | Q1 2026 |
|---|---|
| Core FFO/sh | $2.04 (+15% YoY) |
| Leasing | 2nd-highest quarter ever |
| Annualized rent (100% share) | $707M |
| Annualized rent (DLR share) | $423M |
| New logos | 116 |
| 0-1MW interconnection bookings | all-time record |
| HEADLINE deal | 200 MW single AI-inference lease in Charlotte with a AAA-rated hyperscaler |
| Total backlog | record $1.8B annualized ($1.0B DLR share) |
FY26 guidance RAISED:
- Core FFO/sh midpoint: $8.10 (+9% YoY) — was $8.00
- Cash renewal spreads: 6.5-8.5% (raised)
- Development pipeline: 1.2 GW under construction, 61% pre-leased
$3.25B US Hyperscale Data Center Fund (March 30, 2026):
- Final close of the inaugural fund
- DLR retains 20% + management fees
- Covers Northern Virginia, Santa Clara, Dallas, Atlanta, Charlotte, NY
- LPs: sovereign wealth funds, pensions, insurers
- A capital-light strategic pivot: DLR becomes an asset manager + operator, not a pure balance-sheet REIT
€2B Italy investment (April 14, 2026):
- 5-year plan
- Rome (62 MW) + Milan (84 MW) opening in 2027
- Mediterranean corridor strategy (the Med = 56% of EMEA capex through 2030)
Dividend (declared May 12, 2026):
- $1.22/sh quarterly ($4.88 annual)
- ~2.50% yield at the $194.93 price
- Record date Jun 15, payable Jun 30, 2026
- As a REIT, required to distribute 90%+ of income
Why we like it
DLR at $194.93 means buying the world's #1 data center REIT (309 data centers, 43.2M sq ft, 55+ metros) at an AI-infrastructure auction price, right as the catalysts line up like they rarely do. Specific reasons:
- Q1 2026 was a brutal beat — Core FFO $2.04/sh, +15% YoY: the April 23, 2026 report made clear the AI-infrastructure thesis is materializing. Leasing was the 2nd-highest quarter ever ($707M annualized rent), 116 new logos, an all-time record in 0-1MW interconnection bookings.
- Anchor: a 200 MW single AI-inference lease in Charlotte with a AAA-rated hyperscaler = the largest contract in DLR's history: 200 MW is enough power to supply ~150,000 homes. One customer, one lease, a 10-15 year contract. It validates the hub-and-spoke + AI inference thesis (new workloads get processed close to where the users are, not only in Loudoun County mega-clusters).
- A record $1.8B annualized backlog — 3 years of revenue guaranteed in advance: in commercial real estate this normally does NOT exist (typical contracts are annual). DLR has 2027-2028 visibility the market still isn't pricing in. The backlog commences ratably through 2028.
- FY26 guidance RAISED to Core FFO of $8.10/sh (+9% YoY): management lifted the midpoint by $0.10 and raised cash renewal spreads to 6.5-8.5%. Explicit confidence.
- Development pipeline of 1.2 GW under construction, 61% pre-leased: the new data centers already have 61% of their rent signed before switching on. That means 2027-2028 FFO is practically locked.
- $3.25B US Hyperscale Fund closed (March 30, 2026) — a capital-light pivot: DLR now manages capital from sovereign wealth funds + pensions + insurers (the LPs). It retains 20% + collects management fees. Asset-light, but it captures the economics. Structural ROE expansion.
- Italy €2B + the Mediterranean corridor: on April 14, 2026 it announced $2.3B for Rome + Milan opening in 2027. The Med is 56% of EMEA capex for 2026-2030. AI data centers in Italy attack demand from the Italian government + European AI labs + Mediterranean infrastructure (submarine cables to Africa).
- Andy Power = the financial architect now executing: CFO 2015-2022 (he structured the balance sheet), CEO since Dec 2022. Skin in the game, knows every lever. Clear track record.
- Dividend stability at $1.22/sh quarterly: a 2.50% yield at $194.93. REIT rules require distributing 90%+. No cut expected with cash flow growing +9%. (10) All-time high of $208.14 hit April 24, 2026, +27% YTD: the momentum is there. Multiple expansion vs. precedent: a 24x forward P/FFO = a cyclical trough for AI infrastructure. CoreWeave (private comp) trades at 35x. Equinix (the largest comparable REIT) trades at 22x but grows less. DLR fair value at 26-28x = $210-225 = +8-15% capital upside + a 2.5% yield + visibility through 2028. Catalysts: Q2 2026 earnings in late July (continued AI lease momentum) + the October 2026 Italy groundbreaking ceremony.
Key Risk
The risks are measurable:
- Rate sensitivity — REIT valuation pressure if 10-year yields rise: if the 10-year Treasury returns to 5%+ (a hawkish Fed pivot or re-accelerating inflation), REIT multiples compress -15-20%. DLR still trades like a bond proxy even with the AI tailwind.
- Power/grid constraints — a sector-wide bottleneck: Loudoun County (Northern Virginia) has >9 GW of data center demand but <2 GW of available power. If Dominion Energy substations don't get built (2028-2030 timeline), new DLR Virginia data centers get delayed. Same problem in Phoenix and Atlanta.
- Customer concentration — the top 1 = ~11.5% of ARR: top-20 customer concentration is material. If Meta/Microsoft cancels a major renewal or consolidates into self-built capacity, that's a revenue shock.
- Aggressive competition: CoreWeave (GPU-as-a-service, the NVIDIA partnership), Crusoe (Bitcoin → AI pivot), hyperscaler self-build (Meta/MSFT/AWS increasingly build their own), Equinix (the interconnection leader), QTS (Blackstone-owned), Vantage (DigitalBridge). Pricing power eventually gets compromised.
- Heavy capex for development: the 1.2 GW pipeline costs ~$12-15B over 2026-2028. DLR must fund it via debt + equity issuance + JV partnerships. If the stock falls, dilution runs high.
- AI demand bubble risk: if LLM scaling laws break (models stop improving linearly with compute), AI demand moderates. Inference workloads are steadier than training, but the magnitude is uncertain.
- The 200 MW Charlotte lease — counterparty risk: AAA-rated, but a single customer. If it defaults or renegotiates (improbable for a AAA, but possible), the $1.8B backlog shrinks significantly.
- Italy €2B macro risk: Italy's debt/GDP is 140%+, with government instability. A euro crisis or an anti-foreign-investment populist government would delay the project.
- U.S. REIT regulation: if Congress modifies REIT tax treatment (closes loopholes), the corporate tax structure changes. Low probability, high impact. (10) The capital-light Fund strategy — economics not yet proven: the $3.25B Fund closed in March 2026 is the first one. If management-fee economics disappoint vs. balance-sheet ownership, the pivot loses its shine.
This is educational and informational content, not financial advice. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Vectorial Data picked DLR on 2026-05-13 at $194.93.
Full Research
Digital Realty Trust (DLR) — Research Completo
Precio: $194.93 | P/E TTM: 70.50 | P/E Forward: 24.07 (on Core FFO $8.10) | Div Yield: 2.50% | Market Cap: $67B
¿Qué es Digital Realty?
Digital Realty Trust es el REIT de data centers más grande del mundo por footprint — un Real Estate Investment Trust (obligado a distribute 90%+ income to shareholders) especializado en construir, adquirir y operar data centers + arrendar capacity (MW + sq ft + interconnect) a clientes.
Historia:
- 2004: fundada por GI Partners; IPO NYSE 2004
- 2017: merger con DuPont Fabros para escalar hyperscale
- 2020: merger con Interxion ($8.4B) — entrada Europa
- Dic 2022: Andy Power CEO
HQ: Austin, Texas | Empleados: 4,282 (FY2025)
Portfolio (al 31 marzo 2026)
| Métrica | Total |
|---|---|
| Data centers | 309 (89 en unconsolidated JVs) |
| Sq ft operating | ~43.2M |
| Metros (markets) | 55+ |
| Continentes | 6 |
| Customers | >5,000 |
| Top customer concentration | ~11.5% ARR |
Q1 2026 — Reportado 23 abril 2026
| Métrica | Q1 2026 |
|---|---|
| Core FFO/sh | $2.04 (+15% YoY) |
| Leasing volume | 2nd-highest quarter ever |
| Annualized rent (100%) | $707M |
| Annualized rent (DLR share) | $423M |
| Nuevos logos | 116 |
| HEADLINE | 200 MW single AI-inference lease Charlotte (record) |
| Backlog | $1.8B annualized récord |
Guidance FY26 RAISED
- Core FFO/sh midpoint: $8.10 (+9% YoY)
- Cash renewal spreads: 6.5-8.5%
- Development pipeline: 1.2 GW under construction, 61% pre-leased
Catalysts Recientes
30 marzo 2026 — $3.25B US Hyperscale Data Center Fund
- Final close inaugural fund
- DLR retains 20% + management fees
- LPs: sovereign wealth, pensions, insurers
- Pivote capital-light
14 abril 2026 — €2B (~$2.3B) Italy investment
- 5-year plan
- Roma (62 MW) + Milán (84 MW) abriendo 2027
- Mediterranean corridor strategy
23 abril 2026 — Q1 + guidance raise + 200 MW Charlotte lease
12 mayo 2026 — Dividendo declarado
- $1.22/sh trimestral
- Yield ~2.50%
Dividendo
- Q1 2026: $1.22/sh declarado 12 mayo 2026
- Annual: $4.88/sh
- Yield: ~2.50%
- Frequency: trimestral
- Pago 30 jun 2026
Customers Top (per supplementals)
- Oracle (FastConnect expansion 2025)
- Meta, Microsoft, Google, IBM, AWS
- Hyperscale long-standing
Anchor Fact
200 MW single-tenant AI-inference lease en Charlotte con AAA-rated hyperscaler = el contrato más grande en la historia de DLR (Q1 2026). 200 MW = energy para ~150,000 hogares.
(Fuente: Q1 2026 earnings release 23 abril 2026)
Riesgos Estructurales
- Rate sensitivity: REIT bond-proxy
- Power/grid: Loudoun County constraint (>9 GW demand vs <2 GW power)
- Customer concentration: top 1 = 11.5% ARR
- Competition: CoreWeave, Crusoe, Equinix, hyperscaler self-build
Tesis en una línea
Comprar el #1 data center REIT del mundo (309 data centers, 55+ metros) justo cuando (1) Q1 2026 entregó Core FFO +15% YoY beat, (2) 200 MW Charlotte AI lease récord histórico, (3) backlog $1.8B = 3 años visibility, (4) guidance FY26 raised a $8.10 (+9%), (5) $3.25B Hyperscale Fund pivote capital-light, (6) €2B Italy abriendo 2027.
Research fecha: 13 May 2026 | Próxima revisión: Nov 2026
Esto no es asesoría financiera.
This is not financial advice. Consult a certified financial advisor.
The author may hold positions in the securities discussed.
Past performance does not guarantee future results.