DOV — Dover Corporation
$210.95
Target: $238.00 (+12.8%)
P/E Ratio
20.4
P/E Forward
17.2
Dividend
1%
Market Cap
$28.5B
EPS
$10.34
Consensus
Buy
What they do
Dover Corporation (DOV) is a diversified industrial conglomerate founded in 1955 with 5 segments of specialized, high-margin industrial equipment. It is one of only ~30 Dividend Kings in the world — 70 consecutive years of dividend increases (since 1956), a streak longer than Coca-Cola, P&G, and J&J. ~25,000 employees globally.
History:
- 1955: George Ohrstrom founds Dover Corporation in New York (rollup of 4 companies: Peerless Pump, C. Lee Cook, W.C. Norris, De-Sta-Co)
- 1956: first dividend paid, initiates Dividend King streak
- 2018: Apergy spin-off (oilfield) → Dover becomes more diversified
- May 2018: Richard Tobin becomes CEO (ex-CNH Industrial)
- 2020-2024: portfolio reshaping — sold printing, acquired bolt-ons in heat transfer + biopharma
- 2026: $1B buyback authorization expansion + Markem-Imaje SmartLase 200i launch
5 Segments:
**
- Engineered Products (~25% revenue)**:
- Vehicle service (lifts, alignments — Rotary brand)
- Aerospace & defense (specialty fasteners)
- Industrial automation (De-Sta-Co clamping)
- Q1 2026: +2% (mixed — auto soft, aerospace strong)
**
- Clean Energy & Fueling (~22% revenue)**:
- Wayne Fueling Systems (gas stations + EV chargers)
- ClimaCheck refrigeration controls
- LNG/CNG dispensing
- Q1 2026: +5% (EV chargers +25%)
**
- Imaging & Identification (~13% revenue)**:
- Markem-Imaje — coding/marking for packaging (medical packs, food bottles, cosmetics)
- Q1 2026: +4%
- Q1 2026 launch: SmartLase 200i CO2 laser with AI vision
**
- Pumps & Process Solutions (~25% revenue)**:
- PSG (Pump Solutions Group) — pumps for biopharma, hygienic, oil & gas
- Q1 2026: +7% driven by biopharma capex recovery
- Customers: Pfizer, Eli Lilly, Novo Nordisk facilities
**
- Climate & Sustainability Technologies (~15% revenue, fastest-growing)**:
- Belvac (food/beverage can making)
- Refrigeration (food retail display cases)
- Heat exchangers + CO2 refrigerants for AI data centers — supplier to CoolIT, Vertiv, Schneider Electric
- Q1 2026: +12% driven by AI data center cooling components
HQ: Downers Grove, Illinois (Chicago suburb). Employees: ~25,000 globally (US ~14k, Europe ~5k, Asia ~4k, other ~2k).
Leadership:
- CEO/President: Richard Tobin since May 2018 (Chairman moved to outside director in 2024)
- CFO: Brad Cerepak (20+ years at Dover)
Q1 2026 (reported April 24, 2026):
| Metric | Q1 2026 | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ~$1.95B | +3% |
| Adj EPS | $2.18 | +8% |
| Bookings | — | +9% |
| Book-to-bill | 1.05x | backlog growing |
| Adj segment margin | 22.6% | +90bps |
| Climate & Sustainability | — | +12% |
| Pumps & Process | — | +7% |
FY26 Guidance reaffirmed: revenue +4-6%, adj EPS $9.65-$9.95
Dividend King:
- 70 consecutive years of increases (1956 → 2025)
- Q1 2026: $0.515/quarter
- Q2 2026 announced: $0.535 = 71st consecutive year
- 10-year CAGR ~6%
FY26 Buyback:
- $300M executed in Q1
- $700M remaining authorization
- Total $1B = ~3.5% market cap retirement
Why we like it
DOV at $210.95 means buying a Dividend King with 70 consecutive years of dividend increases (one of only ~30 in the world) right as 2 segments are inflecting higher from AI data center cooling + biopharma capex recovery. Specific reasons:
- Q1 2026 delivered +8% EPS + 9% bookings + 90bps margin expansion: revenue +3% reported but bookings +9% (book-to-bill 1.05x = orders growing faster than shipments) = FY26 momentum. EPS $2.18 beat consensus $2.10.
- Climate & Sustainability +12% Q1 2026 = AI data center cooling exposure: Dover supplies thermal management components (heat exchangers, CO2 refrigerants) to CoolIT (recently acquired by Ecolab for $4.75B), Vertiv, and Schneider Electric. Every liquid-cooled Nvidia H100/Blackwell rack needs Dover components. Climate & Sustainability backlog +18% Q1 2026 = solid H2 2026 visibility.
- Pumps & Process +7% Q1 2026 = biopharma capex inflection: Pfizer, Eli Lilly (Mounjaro/Zepbound capacity expansion), Novo Nordisk (Ozempic/Wegovy capacity) are building facilities at record speed. Dover PSG sells FDA hygienic-spec pumps — a real technical moat.
- Dividend King 70 years = one of only ~30 in the world: Coca-Cola has 63 years. P&G 69. J&J 63. Dover 70 (since 1956). A unique track record — it survived Vietnam, 1970s stagflation, the dot-com bust, the 2008 GFC, and COVID 2020. Q2 2026 announced increase to $0.535 = 71st consecutive year = the longest streak in the world after Procter & Gamble (when P&G raised in April 2026).
- Disciplined capital allocation: $1B buyback FY26 (~3.5% market cap) + growing dividend + selective tuck-in M&A. Tobin (CEO since 2018) eliminated low-margin segments (printing 2019, Apergy spin-off 2018) and consolidated the portfolio. ROIC ex-cash 22% vs. peer Industrial Aristocrats 15%.
- Forward P/E 17.2x = discount vs. peer Industrial Dividend Kings: Emerson Electric 22x, Parker-Hannifin 20x, Illinois Tool Works 26x. DOV trades at 17.2x because the market sees it as a conglomerate without a growth story — incorrect. Climate AI + biopharma are growth stories. Re-rating to 20x = $244 = +16% capital gain + 1% yield.
- Invisible Markem-Imaje moat: Dover is the #1 global company in coding/marking for pharmaceutical packaging (every Pfizer/Lilly box leaving a plant carries a Markem code). Q1 2026 launch of SmartLase 200i with AI vision = upgrade cycle 2026-2028 (~$300M opportunity). Recurring consumables ink + service = 60% margins.
- Tobin's 8-year track record: CEO since May 2018. EPS CAGR 11% since 2018. Stock returned +145% vs. S&P +95% in the same period. Concrete track record of capital allocation + portfolio reshaping.
- Tariff-resilient: 75% of revenue produced locally in the country of sale (Dover has 100+ global facilities). Trump 2026 tariffs net impact ~$80M FY26 = <1% revenue. Pricing power offsets. (10) Anchor: 70 straight years of dividend increases since 1956 = survived 13 US recessions, 11 presidents, 6 financial crises. If you buy DOV at $210.95 and reinvest dividends for 30 years at a 6% CAGR, the yield on cost at year 30 = ~5.8%, not counting capital appreciation.
Key Risk
The risks are measurable:
- Permanent conglomerate discount: the market historically penalizes diversified conglomerates (DOV at 17.2x vs. single-segment industrial peers at 20-26x). If Tobin doesn't spin off low-multiple segments (Climate could be a data center cooling pure-play), the discount persists. Bluebell/Trian activists have pushed for simplification — without tangible results so far.
- Engineered Products soft auto exposure: Vehicle service (Rotary brand) depends on US auto dealer activity. EV transition + dealer consolidation = a chronic headwind. The segment's Q1 2026 +2% is the portfolio's low anchor.
- AI data center cooling competition: Vertiv (VRT) is the leader with 5x Dover's scale in this segment. Schneider Electric has better global distribution. Dover provides components, not the full architecture — if CoolIT/Vertiv vertically integrate in-house production, Dover loses wallet share.
- Biopharma capex is cyclical: the Mounjaro/Zepbound + Ozempic/Wegovy capacity boom is a cycle. If GLP-1 demand moderates (Medicare pricing concessions, biosimilars, side-effect narrative), capex decelerates in 2027-2028. The PSG +7% in Q1 2026 could reverse.
- Wayne Fueling EV transition risk: gas stations remain the core. Wayne expanded into EV chargers (+25% Q1 2026) but the base is small. If EV adoption accelerates faster than expected (+EV mandates 2028-2030), gasoline dispenser revenue faces a cliff.
- Tobin CEO succession 2027-2028: 8 years in the role, age 63 in 2026. If he retires in 2027, transition risk. No successor announced. CFO Brad Cerepak is the natural candidate but untested at the top.
- M&A multiple expansion expectation: the market values DOV assuming continued M&A optimization. If Tobin can't find attractive deals (industrial multiples are high) or a large deal goes badly, the thesis is damaged.
- FX exposure ~35% revenue ex-US: a stronger dollar = reported revenue suffers. Q1 2026: -1% FX drag. EUR/USD moving from 1.05 to 1.00 would be a -2% revenue headwind.
- Climate & Sustainability lumpy by project: data center cooling backlog +18% Q1 2026, but ramp-up depends on timing of large CoolIT/Vertiv orders. Quarter-to-quarter variability of ±5%. The market could punish a Q2 or Q3 2026 miss. (10) Dividend yield 1.00% = not an income stock: modest yield vs. peers Emerson 2.2%, Parker-Hannifin 1.3%. Income investors go to Emerson; growth investors go to non-Aristocrats. DOV must deliver capital appreciation + dividend growth together — if EPS growth disappoints for 2 quarters, the dual narrative breaks.
This is educational and informational content, not financial advice. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Vectorial Data picked DOV on 2026-05-18 at $210.95.
Full Research
Dover Corporation (DOV) — Research Completo
Precio: $210.95 | P/E TTM: 20.40 | P/E Forward: 17.20 | Div Yield: 1.00% | Market Cap: $28.5B
¿Qué es Dover?
Dover Corporation es un conglomerado industrial diversificado fundado en 1955 — uno de solo ~30 Dividend Kings en el mundo con 70 años consecutivos de aumentos del dividendo (desde 1956).
Historia:
- 1955: George Ohrstrom funda Dover (rollup 4 empresas)
- 1956: primer dividendo — inicia streak
- 2018: spin-off Apergy (oilfield)
- Mayo 2018: Richard Tobin CEO
- 2020-2025: portfolio reshaping continuado
- 2026: $1B buyback FY26, Markem-Imaje SmartLase launch, 71º año dividend increase
5 Segmentos
| Segmento | % Revenue | Q1 2026 | Highlight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Engineered Products | ~25% | +2% | Vehicle service, aerospace |
| Clean Energy & Fueling | ~22% | +5% | Wayne fuel + EV chargers +25% |
| Imaging & Identification | ~13% | +4% | Markem-Imaje coding |
| Pumps & Process | ~25% | +7% | Biopharma capex recovery |
| Climate & Sustainability | ~15% | +12% | AI data center cooling |
Q1 2026 — Reportado 24 abril 2026
| Métrica | Q1 2026 | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ~$1.95B | +3% |
| Adj EPS | $2.18 | +8% |
| Bookings | — | +9% |
| Book-to-bill | 1.05x | backlog growing |
| Adj segment margin | 22.6% | +90bps |
FY26 Guidance reafirmada: revenue +4-6%, adj EPS $9.65-$9.95
Catalysts 2025-2026
Climate & Sustainability +12% — AI Data Center Cooling
- Heat exchangers + CO2 refrigerants para liquid cooling
- Clientes: CoolIT (Ecolab), Vertiv, Schneider Electric
- Backlog +18% Q1 2026
Pumps & Process +7% — Biopharma Capex
- Pfizer, Eli Lilly (Mounjaro/Zepbound), Novo Nordisk (Ozempic/Wegovy)
- Hygienic specs FDA = moat técnico
Markem-Imaje SmartLase 200i (Q1 2026)
- CO2 laser coder con AI vision
- Upgrade cycle 2026-2028 (~$300M opportunity)
Buyback FY26
- $300M Q1 ejecutado
- $700M autorización restante
- Total $1B = ~3.5% market cap
Dividend King — 70 Años
| Empresa | Streak Dividend Increases |
|---|---|
| Procter & Gamble | 69 años |
| Dover Corporation | 70 años |
| Genuine Parts | 69 años |
| Coca-Cola | 63 años |
| Johnson & Johnson | 63 años |
Anuncio Q2 2026: $0.515 → $0.535 = 71º año consecutivo
Streak más largo histórico del world. Sobrevivió:
- Recesiones: 1958, 1960, 1969, 1973-75, 1980, 1981-82, 1990, 2001, 2008-09, 2020
- Crisis: dot-com, GFC, COVID
- Stagflation 70s
Tobin Track Record (CEO desde may 2018)
- EPS CAGR 11% desde 2018
- Stock total return +145% vs S&P +95%
- Portfolio reshaping: vendió printing, spin Apergy
- Tuck-in M&A disciplinado (Markem-Imaje extensiones)
Anchor Fact
70 años consecutivos de aumentos del dividendo (1956 → 2025) — uno de solo ~30 Dividend Kings en el mundo y el segundo streak más largo después de Procter & Gamble.
Si compras DOV a $210.95 y reinvirtes dividendo 30 años a CAGR 6%, yield sobre cost (YoC) a 30 años = ~5.8% sin contar capital appreciation.
(Fuente: Dover Investor Relations + Mergent Dividend Achievers Index)
Tesis en una línea
Comprar un Dividend King de 70 años (uno de solo ~30 en mundo) cuando (1) Q1 2026 entrega +8% EPS + 9% bookings, (2) Climate +12% por AI data center cooling, (3) Pumps +7% por biopharma capex, (4) $1B buyback FY26, (5) P/E forward 17.2x descuento vs peers Industrial Aristocrats 20-26x.
Research fecha: 18 May 2026 | Próxima revisión: Nov 2026
Esto no es asesoría financiera.
This is not financial advice. Consult a certified financial advisor.
The author may hold positions in the securities discussed.
Past performance does not guarantee future results.