HEI — HEICO Corporation
$270.34
Target: $375.00 (+38.7%)
P/E Ratio
53.6
P/E Forward
42.6
Dividend
0.09%
Market Cap
$37.72B
EPS
$5.04
Consensus
Buy
What they do
HEICO Corporation (NYSE: HEI) is a U.S. aviation and electronics company, founded in 1957 and headquartered in Hollywood/Miami, Florida. ~11,100 employees. Its reputation comes from a very particular model: being the largest independent maker of FAA-approved replacement aircraft parts that compete head-on with the original maker's parts — cheaper, same certified safety.
Two segments:
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- Flight Support Group (FSG) — the heart of the business. It makes parts under FAA-PMA (Parts Manufacturer Approval): replacements for engines and aircraft that the FAA certifies as equivalent to the original part, but that HEICO sells 30-50% cheaper than Boeing, Airbus, GE or Pratt & Whitney. It also repairs and overhauls components (MRO). Its customers are airlines and maintenance shops that want to lower the cost of keeping their fleet flying. Q2 FY2026: record sales of $929.4M (+21%)**, 26.2% operating margin.
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- Electronic Technologies Group (ETG) — mission-critical electronics: components for defense, satellites, spacecraft, medical equipment and telecom. It is the higher-margin business and grows fast. Q2 FY2026: record sales of $459.5M (+34%)**, 26.5% operating margin.
The Mendelson model (the real thesis): in 1990, Laurans Mendelson and his family took control and turned HEICO into an acquisition machine: they buy small, profitable niche companies (founder-led), keep the people and culture, and let the business keep growing under HEICO's umbrella. Repeating that for 35 years, the stock delivered a return of ~47,500% between 1990 and 2019. His sons Eric Mendelson (runs FSG) and Victor Mendelson (runs ETG) are co-presidents — succession already underway. In 2023 they closed their largest deal to date: Wencor Group for ~$2 billion, one of the biggest independent distributors and makers of PMA parts, which doubled their catalog.
Two-class share structure: there is HEI (voting) and HEI.A (non-voting, cheaper). We are buying HEI, the voting class. The family keeps firm control of the company through this structure — good for long-term strategy, but it concentrates power in a single family.
Capital allocation: HEICO pays a tiny dividend (~0.07% a year, semiannual) — more a symbolic gesture than real income. Its philosophy is to reinvest almost all cash into buying more companies, because that is the real compounding engine.
Why we like it
HEI at $341.87 is buying one of the best compounding machines on the stock market: a family-run company that has spent 35 years buying niche aviation and electronics businesses and growing them. Specific reasons:
- Structural cost advantage: HEICO sells FAA-approved aircraft parts 30-50% cheaper than the original maker. With airlines obsessed with cutting costs and fleets aging, there is structural demand for cheaper replacements — and HEICO is the independent leader.
- Record and accelerating growth: Q2 FY2026 delivered sales +25% ($1,375.7M) and net income +49% ($233.8M), with 18% organic growth — not just from deals, the core business is accelerating. The stock jumped ~+12% on the report.
- Two high-margin engines: both FSG (parts, 26.2% margin) and ETG (defense/space electronics, 26.5% margin) are at records; ETG grew +34%.
- Acquisition machine with a proven record: the Mendelson model of buying founder-led companies and letting them grow delivered ~47,500% from 1990 to 2019; Wencor (~$2 billion, 2023) was its biggest move and is already contributing.
- Succession settled and skin in the game: the Mendelson family controls and runs it (sons Eric and Victor already run the two segments), aligned with long-term shareholders. Analysts: 'Moderate Buy', average target ~$386.10 (~+12.9% from $341.87).
Key Risk
Risks:
- Very expensive valuation — #1: at ~62x earnings (forward P/E ~50x), the price already prices in years of perfect growth. HEICO is a great business, but at this price any weak quarter or integration stumble can trigger a sharp correction — you pay a lot for the quality.
- Growth depends on buying companies: much of the story is acquisitions; if target prices rise, if they run out of good targets, or if an integration goes wrong (like Wencor at ~$2 billion), the engine slows.
- Aviation cycle: the business depends on how much planes fly; a recession, a pandemic or a drop in air traffic reduces maintenance and hits parts sales (it happened in 2020).
- Family control and succession: the Mendelson family controls via voting shares (HEI); Laurans Mendelson is now elderly — future success depends on his sons keeping the same capital discipline.
- Customer and supplier concentration: it depends on a few large airlines and on the makers (Boeing/Airbus/GE) whose parts it copies; FAA regulatory changes on PMA parts could affect the business.
- Symbolic dividend: ~0.07% a year is not real income — it is almost 100% a bet that the stock keeps rising.
This is educational and informational content, not financial advice. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Vectorial Data picked HEI on 2026-05-04 at $270.34.
Full Research
HEICO Corporation (HEI) — Research Completo
Precio: $270.34 | P/E TTM: 53.64 | P/E Forward: 42.56 | Div Yield: 0.09% | Market Cap: $37.72B
¿Qué es HEICO?
HEICO Corporation es el mayor proveedor independiente del mundo de partes aftermarket aprobadas FAA-PMA (Parts Manufacturer Approval) para motores de jet, airframes y componentes electrónicos. Fundada en 1957 en Hollywood, Florida. La familia Mendelson tomó control en 1990 cuando Larry Mendelson — un acquirer entrenado en private equity — vio el potencial.
Lo que sigue es uno de los track records de compounding más completos del mercado público de EE.UU.:
| Métrica | 1990 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $26M | ~$4.5B |
| Market cap | bajo nine-figure | ~$37.72B |
| Multiplier | 1x | >1,500x |
| CAGR | — | 22-23% por 35 años |
Una inversión de $100,000 en 1990 valdría >$100 millones hoy. ~59,337% retorno total incluyendo dividendos.
Clases de Acciones
| Symbol | Voto | Cotización |
|---|---|---|
| HEI (Common) | 1 voto/acción | $270.34 (esta posición) |
| HEI.A (Class A) | 1/10 voto/acción | ~$215 (descuento) |
Económicamente idénticas — la prima reflecta el voto. Esta posición es HEI Common.
Sucesión Mendelson — Cambio Crítico (sept-2025)
Larry Mendelson (Laurans A. Mendelson) falleció el 27 de septiembre de 2025 a los 87 años. Era Executive Chairman; sucesión ya ejecutada según plan:
- Eric A. Mendelson y Victor H. Mendelson ahora son Co-Chairmen + Co-CEOs
- Eric sigue al frente de Flight Support Group (FSG)
- Victor sigue al frente de Electronic Technologies Group (ETG)
- HEICO declaró "no anticipa cambios en operaciones"
Larry había transicionado a Executive Chairman a inicios de 2025; Eric+Victor ya operaban como Co-CEOs por años. Transición fluida.
Q1 FY2026 — Reportado 25 febrero 2026
(Fiscal year ends 31 octubre)
- Revenue: $1.18B (+14.4% YoY), batió consensus $1.15B
- EPS: $1.35 vs estimate $1.27 (+6.3% beat); +12.5% YoY desde $1.20
- Net income récord: $190.2M (+13% YoY)
- Operating profit: $260M (+14.6% YoY)
- Operating cash flow: $178.6M
- Crecimiento orgánico: 12% FSG, 6% ETG; resto vía M&A
Por Segmento
| Segmento | Revenue Q1 | YoY | Op Income | Margen | Vs Q1 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSG | $820.0M | +15% | $200.7M | 24.5% | +110bps (expandiendo) |
| ETG | $370.7M | +12% | — | 19.8% | -330bps (comprimido por mix) |
ETG defense/space/aerospace mix: $301.2M (81.3%) | Otros (medical, telecom): $69.5M (18.7%).
Guidance
- Q2 FY2026 (reporta 26 mayo 2026): EPS ~$1.60
- FY2026 revenue: $5.01B
PMA Moat — El Centro del Modelo
HEICO Parts Group es el mayor proveedor independiente del mundo de partes FAA-PMA:
- >19,500 partes FAA-PMA aprobadas
- >500 nuevas partes/año (pipeline regular)
- >90 millones de partes entregadas históricamente con CERO Service Bulletins, Airworthiness Directives, ni in-flight shutdowns trazables a HEICO
- 25-50% ahorro vs OEM en ese ítem específico
- Aprobaciones para 737NG, 737 MAX, 757, 767, 777, 787 + varios Airbus
PMA permite a aerolíneas comprar partes genéricas FAA-aprobadas en lugar de OEM — savings inmediatos sin penalty regulatorio. Es uno de los moats más limpios en industrials.
Adquisiciones Recientes
| Deal | Fecha | Segmento | Notas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wencor (ancla) | 4-ago-2023 | FSG | $2.05B = $1.9B cash + $150M HEI.A — la mayor histórica |
| Millennium International | 2025 | FSG | 90% del stock; avionics commercial repair |
| Rosen Aviation | mayo 2025 | FSG | vía Mid Continent Controls; in-flight entertainment business aviation |
| EthosEnergy Accessories & Components | cerrada 5-feb-2026 | FSG (vía Wencor) | engine accessory + component repair; 175 empleados; >175k sq ft EE.UU. + Escocia |
| Sherwood Avionics & Accessories | 6-abril-2026 | FSG | 80% adquirido; management retiene 20% |
Modelo: ~10+ deals/año, ~7-9x EBITDA pagados, retain management, descentralizado.
Capital Return
- Dividendos semi-anuales (NO trimestral) — pago más reciente: 17-ene-2025 ($0.110/share). Yield ~0.09%, $0.24/yr.
- 8 años consecutivos subiendo dividendo (verificable). Cifra "92 dividendos consecutivos" no verificable en estas búsquedas — citada como tradición HEICO.
- 15 stock splits/dividends desde 1995. Más reciente: 5-for-4 split sobre ambas clases.
- Dividend absoluto pequeño porque la acción ha compundido — el cash retorna primero a M&A y reinversion en compounding.
Catalysts 2025-2026
- Boeing ramp: 737 MAX 47/mes en 2026 → 52 → 57; 787 7/mes → 10/mes en 2026. HEICO tiene PMA para ambos.
- Aging fleet thesis vigente: gap delivery vs demand → flotas más viejas → más aftermarket consumption.
- Defense sustainment tailwind: ETG sesgado 81% defense/space; budget global en alza.
- MRO Americas 2026: presentación HEICO captó atención sell-side.
- EthosEnergy A&C integration post-feb 2026: expande engine accessory repair capabilities.
- Citi target $415 (13-ene-2026); RBC $375.
Analyst Consensus (mayo 2026)
- Rating: Buy. ~12 analistas, 60% bullish.
- Mean target: ~$373-376
- High: $415 (Citi)
- Low: $278-330
- Upside vs $270.34: +38% al mean target.
Riesgos Cuantificados
- Valuación premium real — P/E TTM 53.64x / forward 42.56x vs A&D peer ~37x.
- ETG margin compression — 23.1% → 19.8% Q1 FY2026; verificar rebote en Q2.
- OEM ramp risk — si Boeing/Airbus aceleran muy rápido, aging fleet thesis modera.
- Recession exposure — aftermarket es cíclico (revenue -10% GFC, -20% COVID).
- M&A integration risk — pace 10+ deals/año.
- Sucesión familiar — Larry murió sept-2025; Eric+Victor sólidos pero pérdida del arquitecto.
Tesis en una línea
Comprar el compounder de aerospace aftermarket más probado del mercado público (CAGR 22-23% por 35 años, >1,500x desde 1990) en el rango premium histórico, con FSG margen expandiendo, M&A pipeline activo, y aging fleet thesis vigente. La sucesión Mendelson ya ocurrió y fue fluida.
Research fecha: 4 May 2026 | Próxima revisión: Nov 2026
Esto no es asesoría financiera.
This is not financial advice. Consult a certified financial advisor.
The author may hold positions in the securities discussed.
Past performance does not guarantee future results.