Stocks/RTX

RTX RTX Corporation

IndustrialsNorth AmericaUnited StatesBlockchain certified

$172.87

Target: $185.00 (+7%)

P/E Ratio

32.4

P/E Forward

22.9

Dividend

1.6%

Market Cap

$232.8B

EPS

$5.33

Consensus

Buy

What they do

RTX Corporation is the third-largest U.S. defense company (after Lockheed Martin and Northrop Grumman) and the #2 global commercial engine maker (after GE Aerospace). Formed in April 2020 through the Raytheon + United Technologies (UTC) merger, reorganized as RTX in July 2023 with three segments:

**

  • Collins Aerospace (~37% of revenue) — integrated avionics (cockpit displays, autopilot, communications), mechanical cabin systems (seats, cabins, oxygen), evacuation, lighting, flight controls, propellers. Main customers: Boeing, Airbus, Bombardier, Embraer, defense agencies. Q1 FY2026: $7.4B revenue (+5%)**.

**

  • Pratt & Whitney (~33% of revenue) — jet engines. GTF (Geared Turbofan) PW1100G for A320neo + A321neo + A220 + Embraer E2 (>1,200 aircraft operating), PW1500G for A220, F135 engine for F-35 Lightning II (P&W won the F-35 Engine Core Upgrade vs GE Aerospace XA100 in 2024 — contract worth $1B+ long-term), PW800 business jets. Q1 FY2026: $7.4B revenue (+14%)**, beat driven by F135 production ramp.

**

  • Raytheon (~30% of revenue) — defense systems: Patriot (world's most successful air defense system — 19 countries operating, >140 ballistic missiles intercepted since Ukraine May 2023 + ~250 air targets), NASAMS (short-range air defense, used by Ukraine, Taiwan, U.S. White House), Tomahawk (cruise missile), AMRAAM (air-to-air), AIM-9X (Sidewinder), SM-3 (naval anti-ballistic), SPY-6 radar (next-generation naval radar). Q1 FY2026: $6.7B revenue (+5%)**, beat on record defense backlog $109B.

Record backlog $271B ($162B commercial / $109B defense) = ~3 years of forward sales. CEO Chris Calio since May 2, 2024 (succeeded Greg Hayes who retired after 16 years). HQ Arlington, Virginia. ~185,000 employees. Listed on S&P 500.

Why we like it

RTX at $172.87 means buying the #3 U.S. defense contractor + #2 global commercial engine maker with a record $271B backlog (~3 years of sales) at a forward price vs. profit of 22.9x — a real premium but justified by backlog visibility, structural defense growth, and projected GTF recovery by 2030. Specific reasons:

  • Q1 FY2026 was a strong beat (reported April 21, 2026): revenue $22.1B (+9% YoY) beat consensus $21.4B; adj EPS $1.78 vs $1.51 (+18% YoY) beat consensus $1.69 (+5% beat). All 3 segments grew — Collins +5%, Pratt +14%, Raytheon +5%. FY2026 Guidance RAISED mid-call: adj EPS $6.70-$6.90 (was $6.50-$6.80), FCF $8.25-$8.75B (was $7.5-$8B).
  • Record backlog $271B = ~3 years of forward sales: $162B commercial (Boeing/Airbus aftermarket + GTF MRO + Collins systems) + $109B defense (Patriot + NASAMS + F135 + Tomahawk + AMRAAM). In Q1 RTX closed $30B+ in new contracts. Multi-year visibility is exceptional vs. cyclical industrial peers.
  • Patriot Ukraine — $3.7B contract signed April 14, 2026 (funded by Germany): 5 additional Patriot systems for Ukraine. Patriot has already intercepted >140 ballistic missiles + ~250 air targets in Ukraine since May 2023, including the first confirmed shoot-down of a Kinzhal hypersonic missile (Patriot vs Russia's top weapon = the biggest military capability demonstration of the decade). Each Patriot system = $1B+. Global Patriot pipeline: Poland, Romania, Sweden, Germany, Netherlands, Japan.
  • NASAMS Taiwan $698.9M (November 2025): air defense for Taipei amid tensions with China. NASAMS has protected the White House since 2005.
  • F-35 Engine Core Upgrade (ECU) — P&W won vs GE Aerospace in 2024: the F135 upgrade goes exclusively to P&W, sustained contract ~$1B+ for 20+ years. Pentagon chose ECU over AETP (Adaptive Engine Transition Program) to reduce risk. F-35 program has 2,400+ aircraft global backlog (U.S. + 18 allies).
  • Clear GTF recovery curve: the GTF powder metallurgy issue required $2.8B accumulated provision since 2023. AOG (Aircraft on Ground) dropped -15% Q1 2026 vs Q1 2025 — first material improvement. Recovery to normal levels by 2030. GTF Advantage (entry late-2026) offers +1% better fuel burn and +5,000 cycles durability — relaunches the engine with major airlines.
  • Dividend (the cash they pay you) raised +7.4% on April 30, 2026 to $0.73/sh quarterly, payable June 11, 2026. Trailing yield 1.60%. RTX has paid dividends since 1936 (89 years) across legacy components + uninterrupted since the 2020 merger.
  • Trump $1T defense budget proposed: the new administration prioritized defense, NATO 5% GDP target. RTX as the 3rd contractor + global Patriot/NASAMS demand = direct beneficiary.
  • Defense backlog $109B + Trump executive order Jan 7, 2026: the executive order limits defense buybacks/dividends but authorizes defense industrial base M&A — RTX can grow inorganically. (10) Valuation: forward price vs. profit of 22.9x is premium vs. A&D peers ~20x but justified by 3-year backlog visibility + structural Patriot demand. Mean analyst target $158-180 (depending on source) with high target $190+. But stock fell >4% post-earnings on the $850M tariff warning — that gap is the opportunity.

Key Risk

The risks are specifically measurable:

  • $850M tariff hit in FY2026 — the trigger for the post-earnings sell-off: Canada/Mexico ~$250M, China ~$250M, reciprocal ~$300M, steel/aluminum ~$50M. RTX absorbs this directly; if tariffs escalate further, the raised guidance gets eroded. RTX can pass some through price increases but not all — management estimated ~$500M net post-mitigations.
  • GTF accumulated provision $2.8B + AOG recovery by 2030: the powder metallurgy issue grounded 700+ aircraft at peak. AOG -15% Q1 2026 is the first improvement but full recovery takes 4 more years. If another defect is detected (unlikely but possible), new provision. Customer concessions with airlines (Lufthansa, JetBlue, IndiGo, Spirit) total $1B+ pending contingencies.
  • F-35 program political risk: Trump and Musk have publicly criticized the F-35 program ('manned fighters obsolete'). If the Pentagon cuts the F-35 order rate (from 80-90/year to 40-50/year), F135 revenue + Collins F-35 systems drops $500M+/year. ECU contract continues but production volume falls.
  • Boeing 737 MAX dependency: Collins + LTA + Pratt engines (PW1500G on B-MAX competitor A220) have indirect exposure to Boeing's 737 MAX ramp. If Boeing has another grounding or quality issue, GTF demand drops.
  • Trump executive order Jan 7, 2026 limiting buybacks/dividends for defense: the executive order proposed restricting defense contractor buybacks (returning capital to the government via price reductions). If Congress codifies it, RTX dividend growth slows. RTX raised the div 7.4% on April 30 despite the order — legal challenge ongoing but uncertainty remains.
  • Raytheon Iran/Middle East exposure: Patriot exports to Saudi/UAE, NASAMS Israel — regional escalation increases backlog but also regulatory risk (CAATSA, ITAR scrutiny).
  • European defense budget reversal: if Ukraine achieves a ceasefire, Patriot/NASAMS replenishment demand moderates. But the NATO 5% target sustains a high baseline.
  • Pratt Engine Alliance dissolution: P&W left Engine Alliance (joint with GE for A380) — A380 production already ended, but service contracts remain.
  • Cybersecurity attacks: RTX is a priority target for Russian/Chinese state actors. Any major breach = customer trust erosion + remediation costs. (10) CEO Chris Calio early-tenure: only 2 years since succession. His first big test with tariffs had a mediocre response (stock fell 4%). If another crisis emerges (another GTF defect, F-35 cut), his credibility gets tested.

This is educational and informational content, not financial advice. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Vectorial Data picked RTX on 2026-05-05 at $172.87.

Full Research

RTX Corporation (RTX) — Research Completo

Precio: $172.87 | P/E TTM: 32.43 | P/E Forward: 22.90 | Div Yield: 1.60% | Market Cap: $232.80B


¿Qué es RTX?

RTX Corporation es la tercera empresa de defensa más grande de EE.UU. (después de Lockheed Martin y Northrop Grumman) y el #2 fabricante mundial de motores comerciales (después de GE Aerospace).

Historia:

  • Abril 2020: fusión Raytheon Company + United Technologies Corporation (UTC) = Raytheon Technologies
  • Julio 2023: rebrand a RTX Corporation, reorganización en 3 segmentos
  • 2 mayo 2024: Chris Calio asume CEO (sucedió a Greg Hayes tras 16 años)

HQ: Arlington, Virginia | Empleados: ~185,000 | Cotización: S&P 500

Tres Segmentos

Collins Aerospace (~37% revenue)

  • Aviónica (cockpit displays, autopilot, comunicaciones)
  • Sistemas de cabina (asientos, oxígeno, evacuación, lighting)
  • Controles de vuelo, propellers, landing gear
  • Cliente: Boeing, Airbus, Bombardier, Embraer, defense agencies
  • Q1 FY2026: $7.4B revenue (+5%)

Pratt & Whitney (~33% revenue)

  • GTF (Geared Turbofan) PW1100G: A320neo + A321neo (>1,200 aviones operando)
  • PW1500G: A220, Embraer E2
  • F135: motor exclusivo F-35 Lightning II
  • PW800: business jets (Gulfstream, Dassault)
  • Q1 FY2026: $7.4B revenue (+14%)

Raytheon (~30% revenue)

  • Patriot: sistema #1 de defensa aérea — 19 países
  • NASAMS: defensa aérea corto alcance — Ukraine, Taiwan, White House
  • Tomahawk: cruise missile
  • AMRAAM: air-to-air
  • AIM-9X (Sidewinder): air-to-air corto alcance
  • SM-3: anti-balístico naval
  • SPY-6: radar naval próxima generación
  • Q1 FY2026: $6.7B revenue (+5%)

Q1 FY2026 — Reportado 21 abril 2026

MétricaQ1 2026ConsensusBeat
Revenue$22.1B$21.4B+3%
Adj EPS$1.78$1.69+5%
YoY EPS+18%

Backlog récord: $271B ($162B comercial / $109B defensa = ~3 años de ventas).

Guidance FY2026 SUBIÓ post-call:

  • Adj EPS $6.70-$6.90 (era $6.50-$6.80)
  • FCF $8.25-$8.75B (era $7.5-$8B)

Tariff Impact — La Razón del Sell-off Post-earnings

CategoríaImpacto FY2026
Canada/Mexico~$250M
China~$250M
Reciprocal~$300M
Steel/Aluminum~$50M
Total~$850M

Stock cayó >4% post-earnings a pesar del beat. Mitigations en marcha pero $500M+ residual.

Patriot — La Joya del Portfolio Defense

Performance Ucrania (mayo 2023 – mayo 2026):

  • >140 misiles balísticos interceptados
  • ~250 air targets neutralizados
  • Primer derribo confirmado de Kinzhal hipersónico (mayo 2023)

Contratos recientes:

  • Ukraine $3.7B (14 abril 2026) — 5 sistemas Patriot adicionales, financiado por Alemania
  • Taiwan NASAMS $698.9M (noviembre 2025)
  • Pipeline: Polonia, Rumania, Suecia, Alemania, Países Bajos, Japón

Cada Patriot system = ~$1B+. Pipeline global = $20B+ next 5 years.

F-35 Engine Core Upgrade (ECU) — P&W Win

  • Pentagon decision 2024: P&W ECU vs GE Aerospace XA100
  • P&W ECU eligida para reducir riesgo (drop-in upgrade vs nuevo motor)
  • Contrato sustained ~$1B+/año por 20+ años
  • F-35 program: 2,400+ aviones backlog (EE.UU. + 18 aliados)

GTF Recovery Curve

  • $2.8B accumulated provision desde 2023 (powder metallurgy issue)
  • AOG (Aircraft on Ground): peak 700+, -15% Q1 2026 vs Q1 2025
  • Recovery a niveles normales: 2030
  • GTF Advantage (entry late-2026): +1% fuel burn, +5,000 ciclos durabilidad

Capital Return

  • Dividendo subió +7.4% el 30 abril 2026: $0.73/sh trimestral, payable 11 jun 2026
  • Yield trailing: 1.60% (USD)
  • Dividendo legacy desde 1936 (89 años entre componentes)
  • Buybacks limitados post Trump executive order 7-ene-2026

Trump Defense Priorities

  • $1T defense budget proposed
  • NATO 5% GDP target
  • Executive order 7-ene-2026: limita buybacks/dividendos defense pero autoriza M&A defense industrial base
  • RTX como #3 contractor = beneficiario directo

Catalysts 2026-27

  • Q2 FY2026 earnings: 28 julio 2026 (siguiente test post-tariff)
  • GTF Advantage entry: late-2026
  • Patriot pipeline awards: Polonia, Rumania, Suecia, Japón
  • F-35 ECU production ramp: 2027+
  • NATO 5% GDP target enforcement: 2026-30

Analyst Consensus (mayo 2026)

  • Rating: Buy / Outperform
  • Mean target: ~$180-190
  • High: $200+
  • Upside vs $172.87: ~+10-15%

Riesgos Cuantificados

  • Tariff hit $850M FY2026 — $500M neto post-mitigations
  • GTF recovery 2030 — AOG -15% es first improvement, todavía 4 años hasta normal
  • F-35 program risk político — Trump/Musk críticas, si cut order rate revenue F135 cae
  • Boeing 737 MAX dependency — Collins systems exposure
  • Buyback restrictions — Trump exec order 7-ene-2026
  • Defense budget reversal Europa — si Ucrania ceasefire
  • Cybersecurity attacks — state actors target
  • CEO Chris Calio early-tenure — primer crisis tariff respondida con stock -4%

Tesis en una línea

Comprar el #3 contractor defense EE.UU. + #2 fabricante mundial motores comerciales a P/E forward 22.9x con backlog récord $271B (~3 años visibility), Patriot demand global structural (Ukraine $3.7B, Taiwan, NATO 5%), F-35 ECU win sustained $1B+/año, dividendo +7.4% subido 30-abril, GTF recovery a 2030 ya iniciada (-15% AOG Q1).

Research fecha: 5 May 2026 | Próxima revisión: Nov 2026

Esto no es asesoría financiera.

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Researched: 5/5/2026Updated: 5/5/2026Next review: 11/5/2026

This is not financial advice. Consult a certified financial advisor.

The author may hold positions in the securities discussed.

Past performance does not guarantee future results.